Ghana set for final imf review as exit from $3bn support programme nears

An International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff mission is expected in Accra from April 29, 2026, to carry out Ghana’s sixth and final review under its Extended Credit Facility programme, marking a critical step toward the country’s planned exit from IMF support in August 2026.

The mission is expected to remain in the country for about two weeks, with official engagements likely beginning on Thursday, April 30, 2026.

The review is widely expected to be the final assessment under Ghana’s three-year Extended Credit Facility arrangement, which was approved in May 2023 with financing of about US$3 billion. The programme has supported Ghana’s broader economic stabilisation efforts, including fiscal consolidation, debt restructuring, and financial sector reforms.

The IMF team will assess Ghana’s overall performance since the fifth review earlier in 2026, including whether delayed targets and structural reforms have been met or are close to completion.

Key discussions are expected to focus on fiscal discipline, particularly developments in the energy sector, debt management, and government spending priorities. Social protection allocations are also likely to come under scrutiny to ensure vulnerable groups remain protected amid ongoing reforms.

A major part of the engagement will be the setting of prior actions required for the sixth review. These conditions will determine Ghana’s eligibility for the final tranche of IMF support and are essential for the successful completion of the programme.

The mission will also review monetary and financial sector progress, including efforts to address long-standing vulnerabilities within the banking system.

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After the Accra engagements, the IMF team will return to Washington, D.C. to analyse the data collected. A report will then be submitted to IMF management and circulated to the Executive Board. The review and approval process is expected to take about two to three weeks before a Board date is set, potentially clearing the way for Ghana’s programme completion in August 2026.

The programme timeline was initially expected to end in May 2026, but was extended to August 2026 through what officials describe as a technical adjustment to allow sufficient time for final data assessment and review completion.

IMF Resident Representative in Ghana, Adrian Alter, has explained that the extension is purely technical and not due to failure to meet key targets. He noted it allows for proper evaluation of end-2025 and early 2026 economic data.

At the fifth review, the IMF said Ghana’s performance had been broadly satisfactory despite delays in some structural reforms, noting that several policy adjustments were beginning to deliver results.

Recent assessments show stronger-than-expected growth, driven mainly by services and agriculture. The IMF has maintained Ghana’s 2026 growth projection at 4.8%, slightly above the Sub-Saharan African average of 4.6%, even as global growth slows to 3.1% due to energy pressures and geopolitical risks.

Inflation is also projected to decline further, with expectations it could fall to around 7.9% in 2026, keeping inflation in single digits through 2027 if current disinflation trends continue.

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Director of the IMF Africa Department, Abebe Aemro Selassie, has expressed optimism about Ghana’s economic outlook as it prepares to exit the programme. However, he cautioned that maintaining fiscal discipline will be essential to avoid a return to previous debt and stability challenges.

He emphasised the need to balance development spending with long-term debt sustainability, stressing that post-programme policy decisions will be critical.

A recent IMF technical assistance mission to the Bank of Ghana also reviewed macroprudential policies aimed at strengthening financial stability. The mission assessed regulatory tools, oversight frameworks, and systemic risk monitoring, recommending stronger decision-making structures and improved early warning systems.

The report also highlighted ongoing progress in the financial sector, including recapitalisation efforts and reforms involving state-owned banks.

Analysts say Ghana’s macroeconomic position has improved under the programme, supported by reforms and tighter policy controls. The Bank of Ghana’s reserves have also reached record levels, providing a stronger buffer against external shocks as the country approaches its IMF exit phase.

Source: Wesleyannews.com

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